Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 13/11, 16:30
Prediction: Barbara Gatica vs Lan Mi
Team pages: Lan Mi
Prediction summary
Winner
Barbara Gatica
Lan Mi
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Barbara Gatica
9-1 (W-L)
Lan Mi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barbara Gatica 1609 · Lan Mi 1513
| Barbara Gatica | Lan Mi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbara Gatica (rating 1609 vs 1513).
- Barbara Gatica is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Barbara Gatica | Lan Mi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-5.4 | 9.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 54.6% |
| Break % | 65.1% | 61.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barbara Gatica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Luisa Hrda W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/11 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Campina Grande |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Camila Romero W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Josefina Estevez W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Maceio |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/10 | Luana Plaza W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lan Mi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Luna Maria Cinalli W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/11 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Adriana Reami WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Jenna Defalco W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Berta Passola W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Redding |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Delaney Letzel W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Valentina Losciale W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barbara Gatica vs Lan Mi?
Our model gives 68% to Barbara Gatica, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.