Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 15/11, 14:00
Prediction: Marie Mettraux vs Barbara Gatica
Team pages: Marie Mettraux · Barbara Gatica
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Mettraux
Barbara Gatica
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mettraux
7-3 (W-L)
Barbara Gatica
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Mettraux 1537 · Barbara Gatica 1612
| Marie Mettraux | Barbara Gatica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbara Gatica (rating 1537 vs 1612).
Statistics
| Marie Mettraux | Barbara Gatica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.9 | 11.6-4.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 63.7% | 70.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Mettraux
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Victoria Bosio W15 Sao Carlos |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/11 | Sofia Meabe W15 Sao Carlos |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 12/11 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/11 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Lidia Encheva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Gabriela Ce W35 Seville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Denise Valente W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Barbara Gatica
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Marjorie Souza W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/11 | Lan Mi W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/11 | Luisa Hrda W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/11 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Campina Grande |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Camila Romero W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Josefina Estevez W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Mettraux vs Barbara Gatica?
Our model gives 69% to Barbara Gatica, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.