Tennis · W15 Nules · 10/11, 11:00

Prediction: Maria Trujillo Garnica vs Isabel Adrover Gallego

Team pages: Maria Trujillo Garnica · Isabel Adrover Gallego

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Maria Trujillo Garnica Isabel Adrover Gallego
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Trujillo Garnica 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLLL
Isabel Adrover Gallego 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Trujillo Garnica 1392 · Isabel Adrover Gallego 1529
Maria Trujillo GarnicaIsabel Adrover Gallego
Our model31%69%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabel Adrover Gallego (rating 1392 vs 1529).
  • Isabel Adrover Gallego is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Maria Trujillo Garnica makes many double faults (6.4/match).

Statistics

Maria Trujillo GarnicaIsabel Adrover Gallego
Win %10%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (6) 83% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.2-1.91.1-1.3
Games (G-P)4.5-12.111-11.9
Aces0.31.5
Double faults6.42.5
1st serve %53.7%55.5%
Break %30.6%43%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Trujillo Garnica

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/10 Esther Lopez Alcaraz
W35 Seville
0-2 4-12 L
25/08 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/08 Valentina Losciale
W15 Logrono
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
31/05 Indianna Spink
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/05 Cristina Diaz Adrover
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
12/05 Anastasiia Firman
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
01/03 Seda Baslilar
W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
17/12 Victoria Gomez O'Hayon
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
19/11 Jade Bornay
ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Isabel Adrover Gallego

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Kateryna Lazarenko
W50 Yecla
1-2 14-13 L
30/05 Ana Carmen Zamburek
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
30/05 Kate Gardiner
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
29/05 Audrey Aulia
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/05 Tia Bonita Jakupovic-Kljako
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/05 Nikoline Gullacksen
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/04 Didi Bredberg Canizares
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
14/04 Margaux Maquet
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/02 Charlotte Narti
W15 Palm Coast
0-2 8-12 L
15/01 Catherine Rennard
UTR Pro Stillwater Women · Hard
2-1 15-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Trujillo Garnica vs Isabel Adrover Gallego?

Our model gives 75% to Isabel Adrover Gallego, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.