Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 11/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yingqun Sun vs Yuyao Li
Team pages: Yingqun Sun · Yuyao Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Yingqun Sun
Yuyao Li
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yingqun Sun
6-4 (W-L)
Yuyao Li
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yingqun Sun 1577 · Yuyao Li 1444
| Yingqun Sun | Yuyao Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yingqun Sun (rating 1577 vs 1444).
- Yingqun Sun is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Yuyao Li makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Yingqun Sun | Yuyao Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.7 | 8.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Maria Pankratova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Marianna Shikhanova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/11 | Junlu Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 30/10 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 29/10 | Remika Ohashi W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Anri Nagata W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/10 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Yeri Hong W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Remika Ohashi W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Yuyao Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Sunam Jeong W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Chenting Zhu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Wenfei Yu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Varvara Panshina W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Wenfei Yu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 12/05 | Xiran Lan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 08/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Niehua Tian W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yingqun Sun vs Yuyao Li?
Our model gives 75% to Yingqun Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.