Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 10/11, 05:30
Prediction: Thasaporn Naklo vs Yiru Chen
Team pages: Thasaporn Naklo · Yiru Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Thasaporn Naklo
Yiru Chen
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Thasaporn Naklo
6-4 (W-L)
Yiru Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thasaporn Naklo 1595 · Yiru Chen 1487
| Thasaporn Naklo | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thasaporn Naklo (rating 1595 vs 1487).
- Thasaporn Naklo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thasaporn Naklo | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-6.6 | 7.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 49.9% |
| Break % | 53% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thasaporn Naklo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Anna Yang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Arina Varaksina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Alexandra Malova W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Yingqun Sun W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/10 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/10 | Alexandra Malova W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | Aditi Rawat W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yiru Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Marika Jones W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Daria Egorova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Anna Yang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Meiling Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Doga Turkmen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 02/09 | Emna Mathlouthi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Liana Cammilleri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thasaporn Naklo vs Yiru Chen?
Our model gives 79% to Thasaporn Naklo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.