Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 10/11, 05:30

Prediction: Jiaqi Wang vs Naoko Eto

Team pages: Jiaqi Wang · Naoko Eto

Prediction summary
Winner
86% 14%
Jiaqi Wang Naoko Eto
Estimated games
17.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jiaqi Wang 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLLWWL
Naoko Eto 1-9 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiaqi Wang 1560 · Naoko Eto 1381
Jiaqi WangNaoko Eto
Our model74%26%
Market96%4%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiaqi Wang (rating 1560 vs 1381).
  • Jiaqi Wang is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Jiaqi WangNaoko Eto
Win %60%10%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.2-1.8
Games (G-P)10.1-7.73.7-11.5
Aces1.30.1
Double faults0.63
1st serve %63.2%42.9%
Break %49.9%40%
Estimated total games (ours) 17.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiaqi Wang

LLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Alina Tikhonova
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/11 Zijun Jiang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/11 Yiru Chen
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
28/10 Junhan Zhang
W35 Kunshan
0-2 6-10 L
22/10 Junhan Zhang
W35 Qian Daohu
0-2 5-12 L
20/10 Xiaodi You
W35 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-4 W
10/10 Junhan Zhang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 8-15 L
09/10 Yanan Hou
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
08/10 Xiao Tang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
07/10 Guyu Xu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Naoko Eto

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Ksenia Zaytseva
WTA Ankara · Hard
0-2 0-12 L
13/09 Kim Chiarello
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Kayla Lorrimer
W15 Dijon
0-2 6-13 L
01/09 Anais Gabriel
W15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 3-12 L
23/08 Christina Bednarczyk
W35 Verbier Qual
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Scarlet Kavanagh
W35 Verbier
0-2 6-12 L
30/07 Dune Vaissaud
W15 Savitaipale
0-2 2-12 L
29/07 Natalia Klys
W15 Savitaipale
2-0 12-6 W
12/07 Rina Saigo
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 0-12 L
26/04 Amy Zhu
WTA Huzhou · Clay
0-2 1-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiaqi Wang vs Naoko Eto?

Our model gives 86% to Jiaqi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.