Tennis · WTA Finals WD · 11/11, 00:00
Prediction: Siniakova/Townsend vs Perez/Schuurs
Team pages: Siniakova/Townsend · Perez/Schuurs
Prediction summary
Winner
Siniakova/Townsend
Perez/Schuurs
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Siniakova/Townsend
8-2 (W-L)
Perez/Schuurs
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Siniakova/Townsend
2–0
Perez/Schuurs
(2 last)
- 14 May2-0 13-5W
- 11 Mar2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Siniakova/Townsend 1589 · Perez/Schuurs 1459
| Siniakova/Townsend | Perez/Schuurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siniakova/Townsend (rating 1589 vs 1459).
- Siniakova/Townsend is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Siniakova/Townsend 2–0 Perez/Schuurs (2).
Statistics
| Siniakova/Townsend | Perez/Schuurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-11.4 | 12-14.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +5.2
Over 18.5: 82% · 1.80
Under 18.5: 18% · 1.90
H2H · Siniakova/Townsend 2 – 0 Perez/Schuurs (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Siniakova/Townsend 2–0 Perez/Schuurs
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 WTA Rome WD | 2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/03/26 WTA Indian Wells WD | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siniakova/Townsend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Errani/Paolini WTA Finals WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-20 | L |
| 11/09 | Krueger/Montgomery US Open WD · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Mertens/Shnaider US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Hunter/Krawczyk US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Wang/Xu US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Brantmeier/Broadus US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Jovic/McNally WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-21 | L |
| 17/08 | Jurak Schreiber/Wu WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Guo/Mladenovic Wimbledon WD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Perez/Schuurs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Finals WD · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Hunter/Joint WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 22/10 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Qu/Shao WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-21 | L |
| 08/10 | Mertens/Shnaider WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-20 | W |
| 04/10 | Sonmez/Vekic WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Mertens/Shnaider US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siniakova/Townsend vs Perez/Schuurs?
Our model gives 75% to Siniakova/Townsend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.