Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 04:00
Prediction: Naoya Honda vs Chun Hsin Tseng
Team pages: Naoya Honda · Chun Hsin Tseng
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoya Honda
Chun Hsin Tseng
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Naoya Honda
4-6 (W-L)
Chun Hsin Tseng
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoya Honda 1512 · Chun Hsin Tseng 1506
| Naoya Honda | Chun Hsin Tseng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Naoya Honda | Chun Hsin Tseng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.3 | 11.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 5 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoya Honda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Jesse Flores Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hao Duan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Chun Hsin Tseng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Anvar Rakhmatov Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Karl Friberg Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Tianhui Zhang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoya Honda vs Chun Hsin Tseng?
Our model gives 64% to Chun Hsin Tseng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.