Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Keegan Smith vs Yu Hsiou Hsu
Team pages: Keegan Smith · Yu Hsiou Hsu
Prediction summary
Winner
Keegan Smith
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Keegan Smith
7-3 (W-L)
Yu Hsiou Hsu
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Keegan Smith
0–1
Yu Hsiou Hsu
(1 last)
- 27 Oct1-2 17-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keegan Smith 1476 · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1482
| Keegan Smith | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Keegan Smith 0–1 Yu Hsiou Hsu (1).
Statistics
| Keegan Smith | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-14.3 | 12.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 11.2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 22.9% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
H2H · Keegan Smith 0 – 1 Yu Hsiou Hsu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keegan Smith 0–1 Yu Hsiou Hsu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/26 Challenger Ningbo | 1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keegan Smith
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Jake Delaney Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Yu Hsiou Hsu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 30/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mohammad Alkotop Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keegan Smith vs Yu Hsiou Hsu?
Our model gives 50% to Keegan Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.