Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Shunsuke Nakagawa vs David Jorda Sanchis
Team pages: Shunsuke Nakagawa · David Jorda Sanchis
Prediction summary
Winner
Shunsuke Nakagawa
David Jorda Sanchis
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Shunsuke Nakagawa
4-6 (W-L)
David Jorda Sanchis
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shunsuke Nakagawa 1474 · David Jorda Sanchis 1474
| Shunsuke Nakagawa | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Shunsuke Nakagawa | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.2 | 10.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 61.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shunsuke Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Mirza Basic Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
David Jorda Sanchis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Henri Squire US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shunsuke Nakagawa vs David Jorda Sanchis?
Our model gives 62% to David Jorda Sanchis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.