Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Yuta Shimizu
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Yuta Shimizu
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Yuta Shimizu
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
4-6 (W-L)
Yuta Shimizu
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kasidit Samrej
0–2
Yuta Shimizu
(2 last)
- 09 Sept0-2 8-12L
- 10 Jan0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1525 · Yuta Shimizu 1565
| Kasidit Samrej | Yuta Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Shimizu (rating 1525 vs 1565).
- Head-to-head: Kasidit Samrej 0–2 Yuta Shimizu (2).
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Yuta Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.8 | 12.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Kasidit Samrej 0 – 2 Yuta Shimizu (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kasidit Samrej 0–2 Yuta Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 Challenger Phan Thiet | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/01/20 ITF M15 Hong Kong | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Coleman Wong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | James McCabe Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/11 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Yuta Shimizu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/11 | August Holmgren Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/11 | Evan Zhu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Yuta Shimizu?
Our model gives 62% to Yuta Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.