Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 08/11, 02:00
Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Hikaru Shiraishi
Team pages: Riku Takahata · Hikaru Shiraishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Riku Takahata
Hikaru Shiraishi
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Riku Takahata
3-7 (W-L)
Hikaru Shiraishi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Riku Takahata
0–1
Hikaru Shiraishi
(1 last)
- 04 Jun0-2 0-7L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1468 · Hikaru Shiraishi 1528
| Riku Takahata | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Shiraishi (rating 1468 vs 1528).
- Head-to-head: Riku Takahata 0–1 Hikaru Shiraishi (1).
Statistics
| Riku Takahata | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.3 | 10.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 52% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Riku Takahata 0 – 1 Hikaru Shiraishi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riku Takahata 0–1 Hikaru Shiraishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/25 M15 Karuizawa | 0-2 | 0-7 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riku Takahata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Yu Tanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Takumi Katsuda M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Masaki Ishikawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Astana |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Arkhip Kozlov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Hikaru Shiraishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Yu Tanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 28/10 | Sho Katayama M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 28/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Hikaru Shiraishi?
Our model gives 73% to Hikaru Shiraishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.