Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 08/11, 03:30
Prediction: Taisei Ichikawa vs Ryuki Matsuda
Team pages: Taisei Ichikawa · Ryuki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Taisei Ichikawa
Ryuki Matsuda
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Taisei Ichikawa
6-4 (W-L)
Ryuki Matsuda
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taisei Ichikawa
1–4
Ryuki Matsuda
(5 last)
- 03 Sept0-2 1-12L
- 29 Jul1-2 10-15L
- 24 Jul1-2 11-14L
- 17 Nov2-0 13-8W
- 28 Oct1-2 16-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taisei Ichikawa 1489 · Ryuki Matsuda 1515
| Taisei Ichikawa | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taisei Ichikawa 1–4 Ryuki Matsuda (5).
Statistics
| Taisei Ichikawa | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 10.1-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Taisei Ichikawa 1 – 4 Ryuki Matsuda (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taisei Ichikawa 1–4 Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/26 M25 Urayasu | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/07/26 M15 Bali | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/07/26 M15 Bali | 1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/11/25 Challenger Yokohama | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10/24 Challenger Sydney | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Noah Karma M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Ren Nakamura M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Blake Bayldon Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Anthony Susanto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ryuki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Pawit Sornlaksup M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Sergey Betov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Zichen Shao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taisei Ichikawa vs Ryuki Matsuda?
Our model gives 57% to Ryuki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.