Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 08/11, 03:00
Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Yushan Shao
Team pages: Alina Tikhonova · Yushan Shao
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Tikhonova
Yushan Shao
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Tikhonova
7-3 (W-L)
Yushan Shao
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1624 · Yushan Shao 1554
| Alina Tikhonova | Yushan Shao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1624 vs 1554).
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Yushan Shao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-8 | 11.3-9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Yuyao Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 19/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Naho Sato W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Salakthip Ounmuang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Yushan Shao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/11 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/11 | Yihan Qu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/10 | Varvara Panshina W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
| 26/10 | Anna Yang W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Yushan Shao?
Our model gives 58% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.