Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 07/11, 03:00

Prediction: Yushan Shao vs Ikumi Yamazaki

Team pages: Yushan Shao · Ikumi Yamazaki

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Yushan Shao Ikumi Yamazaki
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yushan Shao 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWLLWWW
Ikumi Yamazaki 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yushan Shao 1533 · Ikumi Yamazaki 1495
Yushan ShaoIkumi Yamazaki
Our model55%45%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Yushan Shao is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Yushan ShaoIkumi Yamazaki
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)11.6-10.48.8-10.5
Aces1.40.6
Double faults3.43
1st serve %63%58.9%
Break %56.2%39.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yushan Shao

WLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Yuhan Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 17-16 W
05/11 Yihan Qu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
04/11 Ke Ren
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/10 Chengyiyi Yuan
W35 Kunshan
1-2 11-14 L
29/10 Yujia Huang
W35 Kunshan
2-1 15-13 W
28/10 Varvara Panshina
W35 Kunshan
2-0 10-0 W
26/10 Anna Yang
W35 Kunshan
2-0 12-6 W
06/10 Katarina Zavatska
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
01/10 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
15/08 Chengyiyi Yuan
W15 Tianjin
1-2 15-16 L

Ikumi Yamazaki

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Anna Yang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/11 Wenfei Yu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
04/11 Ying Xue
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
28/10 I Wen Wan
W35 Sydney
1-2 8-16 L
21/10 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Sydney
0-2 3-12 L
13/10 Jana Kolodynska
W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
22/09 Rinko Matsuda
W50 Nanao
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Kyoto
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Anja Stankovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
17/08 Lidia Encheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yushan Shao vs Ikumi Yamazaki?

Our model gives 61% to Yushan Shao, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.