Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 07/11, 03:00
Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Yingqun Sun
Team pages: Alina Tikhonova · Yingqun Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Tikhonova
Yingqun Sun
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Tikhonova
7-3 (W-L)
Yingqun Sun
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1622 · Yingqun Sun 1559
| Alina Tikhonova | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1622 vs 1559).
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-7.8 | 13.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Yuyao Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 19/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Naho Sato W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Salakthip Ounmuang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Maria Pankratova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Marianna Shikhanova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/11 | Junlu Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 30/10 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 29/10 | Remika Ohashi W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Anri Nagata W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/10 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Yeri Hong W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Remika Ohashi W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Alina Yuneva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Yingqun Sun?
Our model gives 72% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.