Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 06/11, 09:00
Prediction: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha Matoula
Team pages: Lucie Nguyen Tan · Martha Matoula
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Martha Matoula
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Nguyen Tan
6-4 (W-L)
Martha Matoula
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Nguyen Tan
1–0
Martha Matoula
(1 last)
- 04 May2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1553 · Martha Matoula 1552
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Martha Matoula | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucie Nguyen Tan 1–0 Martha Matoula (1).
- Note: Martha Matoula makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Martha Matoula | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 12-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.3% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1 – 0 Martha Matoula (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1–0 Martha Matoula
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/23 ITF W25 Tossa De Mar | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 04/11 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Laura Samsonova WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Eva Bennemann WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Mireia Sagrista Bermejo WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Seville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Pia Lovric W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Ares Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Martha Matoula
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Matilde Paoletti W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alice Tubello W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha Matoula?
Our model gives 65% to Martha Matoula, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.