Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 15/11, 11:00
Prediction: Janika K Alzugaray vs Alexa Karatancheva
Team pages: Janika K Alzugaray · Alexa Karatancheva
Prediction summary
Winner
Janika K Alzugaray
Alexa Karatancheva
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Janika K Alzugaray
1-9 (W-L)
Alexa Karatancheva
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Janika K Alzugaray 1369 · Alexa Karatancheva 1450
| Janika K Alzugaray | Alexa Karatancheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexa Karatancheva (rating 1369 vs 1450).
- Alexa Karatancheva is in better form: 30% recent wins.
- Note: Janika K Alzugaray makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Janika K Alzugaray | Alexa Karatancheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-12.2 | 7.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Janika K Alzugaray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Laura Svatikova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Maria Rentoumi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Anna Ozerova W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Aleksandra Melnikova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Irina Khayndrava W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 10/05 | Ania Hertel W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Adela Polakovicova UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Petra Sedlackova UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Iaroslava Sviatetckaia UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Sara Gvozdenovic UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alexa Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Raya Markova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexandra Sakellaridi W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/10 | Anna Ozerova W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Ipek Oz W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Adriana Reami W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Siyun Xiao W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Ekaterina Perelygina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Tena Lukas W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Salma Drugdova W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Janika K Alzugaray vs Alexa Karatancheva?
Our model gives 76% to Alexa Karatancheva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.