Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 16/11, 10:00
Prediction: Michaela Bayerlova vs Beatris Spasova
Team pages: Michaela Bayerlova · Beatris Spasova
Prediction summary
Winner
Michaela Bayerlova
Beatris Spasova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Michaela Bayerlova
6-4 (W-L)
Beatris Spasova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michaela Bayerlova 1530 · Beatris Spasova 1471
| Michaela Bayerlova | Beatris Spasova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michaela Bayerlova (rating 1530 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Michaela Bayerlova | Beatris Spasova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.1 | 8.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michaela Bayerlova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Toronto |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Theadora Rabman W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Tori Kinard W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 12-15 | W |
| 20/10 | Hiromi Abe W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/10 | Clervie Ngounoue W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Eve Thibault W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Mimi Xu W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Mia Kupres W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/10 | Andrea Taylor W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Beatris Spasova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Karyna Fiadosik W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Eliska Tichackova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Istanbul |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Istanbul |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/10 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Istanbul |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Monika Gospodinova W50 Istanbul |
1-1 | 10-11 | L |
| 16/10 | Luisina Giovannini W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Elena Papadopoulou W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Yoana Moneva W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michaela Bayerlova vs Beatris Spasova?
Our model gives 71% to Michaela Bayerlova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.