Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 06/11, 04:00
Prediction: Jiaqi Wang vs Alina Tikhonova
Team pages: Jiaqi Wang · Alina Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiaqi Wang
Alina Tikhonova
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jiaqi Wang
6-4 (W-L)
Alina Tikhonova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiaqi Wang 1546 · Alina Tikhonova 1620
| Jiaqi Wang | Alina Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1546 vs 1620).
- Alina Tikhonova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jiaqi Wang | Alina Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-7.8 | 13.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 59% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiaqi Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Yiru Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Junhan Zhang W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 22/10 | Junhan Zhang W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Xiaodi You W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Junhan Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Yanan Hou W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Xiao Tang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/10 | Guyu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Yuyao Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 19/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Naho Sato W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Salakthip Ounmuang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiaqi Wang vs Alina Tikhonova?
Our model gives 62% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.