Tennis · W15 Monastir · 05/11, 09:30
Prediction: Lya Fernandez vs Astrid Cirotte
Team pages: Lya Fernandez · Astrid Cirotte
Prediction summary
Winner
Lya Fernandez
Astrid Cirotte
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lya Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Astrid Cirotte
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lya Fernandez 1522 · Astrid Cirotte 1576
| Lya Fernandez | Astrid Cirotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Astrid Cirotte (rating 1522 vs 1576).
- Astrid Cirotte is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lya Fernandez makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Lya Fernandez | Astrid Cirotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-9.5 | 11.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 51.7% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lya Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Carola Cavelli W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 29/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Anna Kubareva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 21/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Manon Favier W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/05 | Laia Petretic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 09/05 | Yasmine Mansouri W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Astrid Cirotte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Milla Sequeira W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Francesca Curmi W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Julia Khramtsova W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Sarina Schnyder W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lya Fernandez vs Astrid Cirotte?
Our model gives 65% to Astrid Cirotte, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.