Tennis · W15 Monastir · 12/11, 10:00
Prediction: Rira Kosaka vs Lya Fernandez
Team pages: Rira Kosaka · Lya Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Rira Kosaka
Lya Fernandez
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rira Kosaka
4-6 (W-L)
Lya Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rira Kosaka 1493 · Lya Fernandez 1544
| Rira Kosaka | Lya Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lya Fernandez (rating 1493 vs 1544).
- Note: Rira Kosaka makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Lya Fernandez makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Rira Kosaka | Lya Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11 | 9.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 55.7% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rira Kosaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Serena Paris W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/11 | Yuka Hosoki W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Haruka Kaji W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Remika Ohashi W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Natsuho Arakawa W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Hee Won Ju W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Lya Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Milla Sequeira W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/11 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Carola Cavelli W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 29/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Anna Kubareva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 21/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Manon Favier W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rira Kosaka vs Lya Fernandez?
Our model gives 53% to Lya Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.