Tennis · W15 Monastir · 14/11, 09:30
Prediction: Anastasia Lizunova vs Matilde Mariani
Team pages: Anastasia Lizunova · Matilde Mariani
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Lizunova
Matilde Mariani
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Lizunova
7-3 (W-L)
Matilde Mariani
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Lizunova 1564 · Matilde Mariani 1545
| Anastasia Lizunova | Matilde Mariani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matilde Mariani makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Lizunova | Matilde Mariani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-7.6 | 10.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Lizunova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Louanne Djafari W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/11 | Yui Watanabe W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/11 | Sara Husar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/11 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/11 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/11 | Sophie Ehrenbergerova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Serena Paris W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/11 | Leire De Ezcurra W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Kayo Nishimura W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Sandra Samir W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Matilde Mariani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Mia Horvit W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/11 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/11 | Carla Giambelli W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Despina Papamichail W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Polina Berezina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Lizunova vs Matilde Mariani?
Our model gives 58% to Anastasia Lizunova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.