Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 05/11, 03:00
Prediction: Ru Xi Wu vs Alina Tikhonova
Team pages: Ru Xi Wu · Alina Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ru Xi Wu
Alina Tikhonova
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ru Xi Wu
3-7 (W-L)
Alina Tikhonova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ru Xi Wu 1517 · Alina Tikhonova 1619
| Ru Xi Wu | Alina Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1517 vs 1619).
- Alina Tikhonova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Ru Xi Wu makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ru Xi Wu | Alina Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.2 | 13.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ru Xi Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Jiangxue Han W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Gloria Levinsky W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Emma Van Poppel W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Varvara Rubtsova W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Shiyu Ye W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Junhan Zhang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Yu Yang Jin W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Yuyao Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 19/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Naho Sato W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Salakthip Ounmuang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ru Xi Wu vs Alina Tikhonova?
Our model gives 71% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.