Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 05/11, 03:00
Prediction: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Wenfei Yu
Team pages: Ikumi Yamazaki · Wenfei Yu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ikumi Yamazaki
Wenfei Yu
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ikumi Yamazaki
3-7 (W-L)
Wenfei Yu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ikumi Yamazaki 1412 · Wenfei Yu 1516
| Ikumi Yamazaki | Wenfei Yu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wenfei Yu (rating 1412 vs 1516).
- Wenfei Yu is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Wenfei Yu makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Ikumi Yamazaki | Wenfei Yu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.5 | 9.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ikumi Yamazaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Ying Xue W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Jana Kolodynska W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Rinko Matsuda W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Anja Stankovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Lidia Encheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lia Karatancheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 10/08 | Yujia Huang W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Wenfei Yu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Xiaotong Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Yu-Ning Tsai W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Yu Jun Lin W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yuyao Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Marianna Shikhanova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Liuyan An W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Yuyao Li W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Na Ri Kim W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ikumi Yamazaki vs Wenfei Yu?
Our model gives 60% to Ikumi Yamazaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

