Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 05/11, 03:00

Prediction: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Wenfei Yu

Team pages: Ikumi Yamazaki · Wenfei Yu

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Ikumi Yamazaki Wenfei Yu
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ikumi Yamazaki 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLWW
Wenfei Yu 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ikumi Yamazaki 1412 · Wenfei Yu 1516
Ikumi YamazakiWenfei Yu
Our model35%65%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wenfei Yu (rating 1412 vs 1516).
  • Wenfei Yu is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Wenfei Yu makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Ikumi YamazakiWenfei Yu
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.71.1-1.1
Games (G-P)9.5-12.59.9-10.2
Aces0.41.8
Double faults34.6
1st serve %57.1%63.5%
Break %32.9%56%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ikumi Yamazaki

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Ying Xue
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
28/10 I Wen Wan
W35 Sydney
1-2 8-16 L
21/10 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Sydney
0-2 3-12 L
13/10 Jana Kolodynska
W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
22/09 Rinko Matsuda
W50 Nanao
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Kyoto
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Anja Stankovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
17/08 Lidia Encheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/08 Lia Karatancheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay
2-1 15-16 W
10/08 Yujia Huang
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 16-16 L

Wenfei Yu

WLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Xiaotong Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
03/11 Yu-Ning Tsai
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
26/10 Yu Jun Lin
W35 Kunshan
0-2 5-12 L
01/07 Yuyao Li
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
30/06 Marianna Shikhanova
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
24/06 Jiaqi Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Liuyan An
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Yuyao Li
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
1-2 11-12 L
07/05 Xi Luo
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Na Ri Kim
W15 Luan · ~Hard
1-0 6-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ikumi Yamazaki vs Wenfei Yu?

Our model gives 60% to Ikumi Yamazaki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.