Tennis · WTA Finals WD · 10/11, 01:30
Prediction: Guo/Mladenovic vs Hsieh/Ostapenko
Team pages: Guo/Mladenovic · Hsieh/Ostapenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Guo/Mladenovic
Hsieh/Ostapenko
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Guo/Mladenovic
5-5 (W-L)
Hsieh/Ostapenko
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Guo/Mladenovic
0–1
Hsieh/Ostapenko
(1 last)
- 20 Aug0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guo/Mladenovic 1536 · Hsieh/Ostapenko 1558
| Guo/Mladenovic | Hsieh/Ostapenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Guo/Mladenovic 0–1 Hsieh/Ostapenko (1).
- Note: Guo/Mladenovic makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Hsieh/Ostapenko makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Guo/Mladenovic | Hsieh/Ostapenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.3 | 13.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.9
Over 19.5: 75% · 1.72
Under 19.5: 25% · 2.00
H2H · Guo/Mladenovic 0 – 1 Hsieh/Ostapenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guo/Mladenovic 0–1 Hsieh/Ostapenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 WTA Cincinnati WD | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guo/Mladenovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Aoyama/Liang WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Hunter/Siniakova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Lumsden/Panova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Chwalinska/Linette US Open WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Hsieh/Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kostyuk/Stearns WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/08 | Kato/Kichenok WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-22 | L |
| 12/07 | Dabrowski/Stefani Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Hsieh/Ostapenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Kenin/Khromacheva WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 09/10 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-21 | L |
| 07/10 | Khromacheva/Samsonova WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Jiang/Wang WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Mertens/Shnaider US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Chan/Joint US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Jurak Schreiber/Ruzic US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Kempen/Panova WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guo/Mladenovic vs Hsieh/Ostapenko?
Our model gives 56% to Hsieh/Ostapenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.