Tennis · WTA Finals WD · 09/11, 01:30
Prediction: Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez vs Perez/Schuurs
Team pages: Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez · Perez/Schuurs
Prediction summary
Winner
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Perez/Schuurs
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
6-4 (W-L)
Perez/Schuurs
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
0–1
Perez/Schuurs
(1 last)
- 06 Oct1-2 20-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 1544 · Perez/Schuurs 1498
| Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | Perez/Schuurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez (rating 1544 vs 1498).
- Head-to-head: Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 0–1 Perez/Schuurs (1).
Statistics
| Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | Perez/Schuurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-12.1 | 13.4-14.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 65.7% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +5.4
Over 19.5: 83% · 1.72
Under 19.5: 17% · 2.00
H2H · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 0 – 1 Perez/Schuurs (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 0–1 Perez/Schuurs
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/26 WTA Beijing WD | 1-2 | 20-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Krawczyk/Stollar WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-22 | L |
| 21/10 | Errani/Paolini WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Jiang/Wang WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Alexandrova/Stollar WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-22 | W |
| 19/09 | Kobori/Plipuech WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Kozyreva/Lumsden WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Dolehide/Khromacheva WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Perez/Schuurs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Hunter/Joint WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Tokyo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 22/10 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Qu/Shao WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-21 | L |
| 08/10 | Mertens/Shnaider WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-20 | W |
| 04/10 | Sonmez/Vekic WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Mertens/Shnaider US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Pridankina/Tang US Open WD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez vs Perez/Schuurs?
Our model gives 56% to Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.