Tennis · WTA Finals · 09/11, 22:30
Prediction: Mirra Andreeva vs Elina Svitolina
Team pages: Mirra Andreeva · Elina Svitolina
Prediction summary
Winner
Mirra Andreeva
Elina Svitolina
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mirra Andreeva
6-4 (W-L)
Elina Svitolina
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mirra Andreeva
1–1
Elina Svitolina
(2 last)
- 25 Jan0-2 6-12L
- 13 Mar2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mirra Andreeva 1554 · Elina Svitolina 1550
| Mirra Andreeva | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mirra Andreeva | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9 | 12.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Mirra Andreeva 1 – 1 Elina Svitolina (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mirra Andreeva 1–1 Elina Svitolina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Australian Open Women | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/03/25 WTA Indian Wells | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirra Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Daria Snigur WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Yue Yuan WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Elina Svitolina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Hanyu Guo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Greet Minnen Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirra Andreeva vs Elina Svitolina?
Our model gives 56% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.