Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 04/11, 11:30
Prediction: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
Team pages: Maya Joint · Maria Sakkari
Prediction summary
Winner
Maya Joint
Maria Sakkari
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maya Joint
8-2 (W-L)
Maria Sakkari
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maya Joint 1583 · Maria Sakkari 1546
| Maya Joint | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maya Joint | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-11.9 | 11.7-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maya Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Maddison Inglis WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 28/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Kayla Day WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Maria Sakkari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Mia Pohankova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Storm Hunter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari?
Our model gives 55% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.