Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 07/11, 07:00
Prediction: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
Team pages: Alexandra Shubladze · Claire Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Shubladze
Claire Liu
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Shubladze
6-4 (W-L)
Claire Liu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Shubladze 1611 · Claire Liu 1535
| Alexandra Shubladze | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1611 vs 1535).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Alexandra Shubladze makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alexandra Shubladze | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-8.1 | 11.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 70% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Elena Pridankina WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 01/11 | Emerson Jones WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Ying Zhang WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Katie Boulter WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/11 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Xinran Sun WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Magda Linette WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Kanon Sawashiro WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu?
Our model gives 53% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.