Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 06/11, 09:30
Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze
Team pages: Sorana Cirstea · Alexandra Shubladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Sorana Cirstea
Alexandra Shubladze
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sorana Cirstea
7-3 (W-L)
Alexandra Shubladze
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorana Cirstea 1530 · Alexandra Shubladze 1609
| Sorana Cirstea | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1530 vs 1609).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Alexandra Shubladze makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.7 | 14-8.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Mary Stoiana WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 27/10 | Maya Joint WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Sara Bejlek WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Han Shi WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Hanyu Guo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Diane Parry US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Julia Grabher US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Elena Pridankina WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 01/11 | Emerson Jones WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Ying Zhang WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze?
Our model gives 55% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.