Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 06/11, 07:00
Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Maria Sakkari
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Maria Sakkari
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
8-2 (W-L)
Maria Sakkari
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0–1
Maria Sakkari
(1 last)
- 22 Jun0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1594 · Maria Sakkari 1540
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliaksandra Sasnovich (rating 1594 vs 1540).
- Head-to-head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0–1 Maria Sakkari (1).
Statistics
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.1 | 12-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0 – 1 Maria Sakkari (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0–1 Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/23 WTA Berlin | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Talia Gibson WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/11 | Katie Volynets WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/11 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Maya Joint WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/11 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Mia Pohankova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Storm Hunter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari?
Our model gives 50% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.