Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 04/11, 08:30
Prediction: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Talia Gibson · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Talia Gibson
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Talia Gibson
6-4 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Talia Gibson
0–2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(2 last)
- 30 Sept0-2 5-12L
- 11 May0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Talia Gibson 1507 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1620
| Talia Gibson | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliaksandra Sasnovich (rating 1507 vs 1620).
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Talia Gibson 0–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (2).
Statistics
| Talia Gibson | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.1 | 13.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Talia Gibson 0 – 2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Talia Gibson 0–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/26 WTA Beijing | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05/26 WTA Paris | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Alexandra Eala WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Maria Sakkari WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Katie Volynets WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/11 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 64% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.