Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 05/11, 07:00
Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
Team pages: Sorana Cirstea · Mary Stoiana
Prediction summary
Winner
Sorana Cirstea
Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sorana Cirstea
6-4 (W-L)
Mary Stoiana
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorana Cirstea 1505 · Mary Stoiana 1562
| Sorana Cirstea | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Stoiana (rating 1505 vs 1562).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 10.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 27/10 | Maya Joint WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Sara Bejlek WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Han Shi WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Hanyu Guo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Diane Parry US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Julia Grabher US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Venus Williams WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Hanna Chang W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 59% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.