Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 05/11, 07:00
Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
Team pages: Tereza Valentova · Alexandra Eala
Prediction summary
Winner
Tereza Valentova
Alexandra Eala
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova
7-3 (W-L)
Alexandra Eala
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tereza Valentova
2–0
Alexandra Eala
(2 last)
- 09 Feb2-0 13-7W
- 14 Oct2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1560 · Alexandra Eala 1487
| Tereza Valentova | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tereza Valentova (rating 1560 vs 1487).
- Tereza Valentova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tereza Valentova 2–0 Alexandra Eala (2).
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Tereza Valentova | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.6 | 13-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 63% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Tereza Valentova 2 – 0 Alexandra Eala (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tereza Valentova 2–0 Alexandra Eala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 WTA Doha | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10/25 WTA Osaka | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tereza Valentova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Mia Pohankova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Shuai Zhang WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | En Shuo Liang WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Shuai Zhang WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Kylie Collins WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alexandra Eala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Emerson Jones WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Talia Gibson WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Diane Parry WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala?
Our model gives 51% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.