Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Marianna Shikhanova vs Shiyu Ye
Team pages: Marianna Shikhanova · Shiyu Ye
Prediction summary
Winner
Marianna Shikhanova
Shiyu Ye
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marianna Shikhanova
7-3 (W-L)
Shiyu Ye
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marianna Shikhanova 1539 · Shiyu Ye 1475
| Marianna Shikhanova | Shiyu Ye | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marianna Shikhanova (rating 1539 vs 1475).
Statistics
| Marianna Shikhanova | Shiyu Ye | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.3 | 10.8-10 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 59.6% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marianna Shikhanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Junhan Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Honori Koyama W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Jiarui Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Noelani Sara Teso W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Funa Kozaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Wenfei Yu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Shiyu Ye
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Yanan Hou W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Jialan Cai W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Momoko Kobori W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marianna Shikhanova vs Shiyu Ye?
Our model gives 62% to Shiyu Ye, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.