Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 04/11, 07:00
Prediction: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
Team pages: Claire Liu · Katie Boulter
Prediction summary
Winner
Claire Liu
Katie Boulter
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Claire Liu
4-6 (W-L)
Katie Boulter
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Claire Liu 1514 · Katie Boulter 1523
| Claire Liu | Katie Boulter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Katie Boulter makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Claire Liu | Katie Boulter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.8 | 8.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Xinran Sun WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Magda Linette WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Kanon Sawashiro WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Katie Boulter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Mai Hontama WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Karolina Muchova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter?
Our model gives 56% to Katie Boulter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.