Tennis · M15 Antalya · 03/11, 09:00
Prediction: Mattia Nannelli vs Patrick Jozwicki
Team pages: Mattia Nannelli · Patrick Jozwicki
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattia Nannelli
Patrick Jozwicki
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mattia Nannelli
4-6 (W-L)
Patrick Jozwicki
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattia Nannelli 1503 · Patrick Jozwicki 1442
| Mattia Nannelli | Patrick Jozwicki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mattia Nannelli (rating 1503 vs 1442).
Statistics
| Mattia Nannelli | Patrick Jozwicki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11 | 8.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 54.5% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattia Nannelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/10 | George Lazarov M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/10 | Aleksandar Tolev M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Alexander Vasilev M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Rodion Chetverikov M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Andrea Paolini M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | David Tixhon M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/03 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
Patrick Jozwicki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Tim Ritzer M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Marat Sharipov M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jiri Cizek M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Sergio Planella Hernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Rocco Piatti M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattia Nannelli vs Patrick Jozwicki?
Our model gives 66% to Mattia Nannelli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.