Tennis · M15 Antalya · 11/11, 07:30

Prediction: Vito Dell'Elba vs Alan Wazny

Team pages: Vito Dell'Elba · Alan Wazny

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Vito Dell'Elba Alan Wazny
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vito Dell'Elba 2-8 (W-L)
LWLWLLLLLL
Alan Wazny 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vito Dell'Elba 1435 · Alan Wazny 1529
Vito Dell'ElbaAlan Wazny
Our model37%63%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Wazny (rating 1435 vs 1529).
  • Alan Wazny is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Vito Dell'ElbaAlan Wazny
Win %20%60%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.71.4-1.1
Games (G-P)7-10.412-11.5
Aces1.32
Double faults2.61.6
1st serve %59.4%62.7%
Break %33.3%40.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vito Dell'Elba

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Artjoms Afanasjevs
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-1 11-8 W
04/11 Filip Cristian Jianu
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
07/10 Viktor Frydrych
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/09 Benoit Torcq
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
22/09 Sven Corbinais
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/09 Ergi Kirkin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Leo Deflandre
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-3 W
08/09 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M25 Pozzuoli
0-2 7-12 L
11/08 Jake Fellows
M15 Targu Jiu
1-2 9-8 L
06/08 Gabriel Ghetu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Alan Wazny

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Heorhii Shylov
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
04/11 David Tixhon
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/10 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M15 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 10-10 L
23/10 Michiel de Krom
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
21/10 Henry Best
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
18/10 Kristijan Juhas
M15 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/10 Iannis Miletich
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 16-16 W
16/10 Matthias Ujvary
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
15/10 Bozo Barun
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/09 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 12-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vito Dell'Elba vs Alan Wazny?

Our model gives 76% to Alan Wazny, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.