Tennis · M15 Antalya · 11/11, 07:30
Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre
Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre
Prediction summary
Winner
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1467 · Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre 1449
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.1 | 9-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 53.5% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Mattia Nannelli M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Matteo Gribaldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 10-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Heorhii Shylov M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/10 | George Lazarov M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Borys Zgola M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | David Popa M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie M15 Buzau |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Fermin Tenti M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Federico Valle M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre?
Our model gives 65% to Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.