Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Arina Varaksina vs Thasaporn Naklo
Team pages: Arina Varaksina · Thasaporn Naklo
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Varaksina
Thasaporn Naklo
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Varaksina
5-5 (W-L)
Thasaporn Naklo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Varaksina 1505 · Thasaporn Naklo 1604
| Arina Varaksina | Thasaporn Naklo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thasaporn Naklo (rating 1505 vs 1604).
- Thasaporn Naklo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Arina Varaksina makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Arina Varaksina | Thasaporn Naklo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.1 | 11.8-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 62.8% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Varaksina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Anchisa Chanta W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Moeka Miyata W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-0 | 10-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Shiho Tsujioka W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nagisa Suzuki W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Ha Eum Lee W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Meiqi Guo W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Eunchae Kim W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Thasaporn Naklo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Alexandra Malova W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Yingqun Sun W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/10 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/10 | Alexandra Malova W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | Aditi Rawat W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Fang An Lin W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Varaksina vs Thasaporn Naklo?
Our model gives 74% to Thasaporn Naklo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.