Tennis · W15 Monastir · 04/11, 10:00

Prediction: Margaux Komano vs Marta Soriano Santiago

Team pages: Margaux Komano · Marta Soriano Santiago

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Margaux Komano Marta Soriano Santiago
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Margaux Komano 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWWWLL
Marta Soriano Santiago 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Margaux Komano 1464 · Marta Soriano Santiago 1511
Margaux KomanoMarta Soriano Santiago
Our model43%57%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Soriano Santiago (rating 1464 vs 1511).
  • Note: Marta Soriano Santiago makes many double faults (8.1/match).

Statistics

Margaux KomanoMarta Soriano Santiago
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.3-1
Games (G-P)9.1-9.99.9-9.5
Aces0.70.6
Double faults2.58.1
1st serve %54.2%60.5%
Break %49.2%51.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Margaux Komano

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Francesca Gandolfi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/10 Marine Szostak
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 8-13 L
04/10 Florence Fedeli
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-0 W
30/09 Klara Veldman
W35 Reims
1-2 11-15 L
29/09 Milena Ciocan
W35 Reims
1-2 10-13 L
28/09 Anna Burchak
W35 Reims
2-1 13-10 W
08/09 Barbara Straszewska
W15 Radom
0-2 4-8 L
04/09 Emily Appleton
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0-2 1-12 L
03/09 Charlotte Narti
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-1 14-11 W
02/09 Ava Hrastar
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0 12-5 W

Marta Soriano Santiago

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Weronika Ewald
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/10 Miyu Nakashima
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
07/10 Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
03/10 Sophia Biolay
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/10 Astrid Cirotte
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-10 W
01/10 Nour Sahnoun
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/09 Anastasia Bertacchi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Sarah Iliev
W15 Dijon
1-2 10-14 L
10/09 Diana Marcinkevica
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-3 W
09/09 Ninon Carpentier
W15 Dijon
2-1 17-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Margaux Komano vs Marta Soriano Santiago?

Our model gives 69% to Marta Soriano Santiago, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.