Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Jiaqi Wang vs Yiru Chen
Team pages: Jiaqi Wang · Yiru Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiaqi Wang
Yiru Chen
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jiaqi Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Yiru Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiaqi Wang 1535 · Yiru Chen 1489
| Jiaqi Wang | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiaqi Wang (rating 1535 vs 1489).
Statistics
| Jiaqi Wang | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9 | 7.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 51.9% |
| Break % | 45% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiaqi Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Junhan Zhang W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 22/10 | Junhan Zhang W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Xiaodi You W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Junhan Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Yanan Hou W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Xiao Tang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/10 | Guyu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Ying Zhang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Yiru Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Marika Jones W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Daria Egorova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Anna Yang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Meiling Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Doga Turkmen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 02/09 | Emna Mathlouthi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Liana Cammilleri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiaqi Wang vs Yiru Chen?
Our model gives 75% to Jiaqi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.