Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 07:00
Prediction: Alexandra Shubladze vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Alexandra Shubladze · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Shubladze
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Shubladze
7-3 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Shubladze 1590 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1486
| Alexandra Shubladze | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1590 vs 1486).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alexandra Shubladze | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.6 | 13.2-13.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Emerson Jones WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Ying Zhang WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Gaeul Jang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Ludmilla Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Heather Watson WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Kayla Day WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 15/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Shubladze vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 55% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.