Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 02/11, 08:30
Prediction: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Katie Volynets · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Volynets
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Volynets
5-5 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katie Volynets
3–0
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(3 last)
- 05 May2-1 14-13W
- 13 May2-0 13-8W
- 18 May2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Volynets 1554 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1589
| Katie Volynets | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Katie Volynets 3–0 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (3).
Statistics
| Katie Volynets | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.2 | 12.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Katie Volynets 3 – 0 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katie Volynets 3–0 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/25 WTA Rome | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/05/24 WTA Paris | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/05/23 WTA Paris | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Volynets
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Hanyu Guo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/10 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Robin Montgomery WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 56% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.