Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 02/11, 07:00
Prediction: Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova
Team pages: Claire Liu · Tatiana Prozorova
Prediction summary
Winner
Claire Liu
Tatiana Prozorova
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Claire Liu
4-6 (W-L)
Tatiana Prozorova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Claire Liu 1498 · Tatiana Prozorova 1575
| Claire Liu | Tatiana Prozorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatiana Prozorova (rating 1498 vs 1575).
Statistics
| Claire Liu | Tatiana Prozorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.7-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.3 | 14.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Xinran Sun WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Magda Linette WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Kanon Sawashiro WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Tatiana Prozorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/10 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Joanna Garland WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Mayar Sherif WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Ruien Zhang WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Xinyu Wang WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova?
Our model gives 58% to Tatiana Prozorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.