Tennis · W15 Monastir · 01/11, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Kayo Nishimura
Team pages: Marie Vogt · Kayo Nishimura
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Kayo Nishimura
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
8-2 (W-L)
Kayo Nishimura
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marie Vogt
1–1
Kayo Nishimura
(2 last)
- 24 Oct0-2 8-12L
- 01 Nov2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1586 · Kayo Nishimura 1615
| Marie Vogt | Kayo Nishimura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Kayo Nishimura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.3 | 12.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Marie Vogt 1 – 1 Kayo Nishimura (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marie Vogt 1–1 Kayo Nishimura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 W35 Monastir | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/11/25 W15 Monastir | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Nahjime Dho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Yui Watanabe W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Baotong Xu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Polina Berezina W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/10 | Daria Yesypchuk WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Lidia Encheva W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Kayo Nishimura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Chenting Zhu W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Cindy Langlais W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Sara Husar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Anastasia Lizunova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Marie Vogt W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Sara Husar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Chenting Zhu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Kayo Nishimura?
Our model gives 58% to Kayo Nishimura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.