Tennis · W15 Monastir · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Yui Watanabe
Team pages: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals · Yui Watanabe
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Yui Watanabe
Estimated games
18.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
2-8 (W-L)
Yui Watanabe
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals 1474 · Yui Watanabe 1521
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Yui Watanabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yui Watanabe (rating 1474 vs 1521).
- Yui Watanabe is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Yui Watanabe makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Yui Watanabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-10.9 | 9.4-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 48.1% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Lya Fernandez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Milla Sequeira W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Chenting Zhu W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Gabriela M Vancea W35 Baza |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kate Sharabura W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Yui Watanabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Pauline Gloeckner W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Marie Vogt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Yana Kim W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/07 | Marianne Angel Gonzalez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Misa Malkin W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aylin Yuriana Arias W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/01 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/01 | Ahniya Vustsina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/01 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/01 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Yui Watanabe?
Our model gives 67% to Yui Watanabe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.