Tennis · W15 Monastir · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Serena Paris vs Rira Kosaka
Team pages: Serena Paris · Rira Kosaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Serena Paris
Rira Kosaka
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Serena Paris
5-5 (W-L)
Rira Kosaka
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Serena Paris 1510 · Rira Kosaka 1487
| Serena Paris | Rira Kosaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Rira Kosaka makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Serena Paris | Rira Kosaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-9.3 | 10-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.3% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 62.4% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Serena Paris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Luisa Fusil W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Anastasia Lizunova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Sara Husar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Anita Tu W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Sara Mikaca W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Victoria Borodulina W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 28/09 | Beatris Spasova W15 Varna |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Joulia Cristiana Cirstea W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Agnese Gentili W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Viola Cossari W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Rira Kosaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Yuka Hosoki W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Haruka Kaji W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Remika Ohashi W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Natsuho Arakawa W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Hee Won Ju W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Serena Paris vs Rira Kosaka?
Our model gives 64% to Rira Kosaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.