Tennis · W15 Monastir · 11/11, 10:00
Prediction: Martyna Zaremba vs Lavinia Luciano
Team pages: Martyna Zaremba · Lavinia Luciano
Prediction summary
Winner
Martyna Zaremba
Lavinia Luciano
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Martyna Zaremba
3-7 (W-L)
Lavinia Luciano
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martyna Zaremba 1411 · Lavinia Luciano 1494
| Martyna Zaremba | Lavinia Luciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lavinia Luciano (rating 1411 vs 1494).
- Lavinia Luciano is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Martyna Zaremba | Lavinia Luciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-10.9 | 9.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 49.1% | 57% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martyna Zaremba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Oceane Babel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Nika Cakarun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 10-11 | L |
| 01/09 | Kristina Belkova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Emma Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Amahee Charrier W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 02/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Marmorstein W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Giulia Russo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Olga Danilova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Lavinia Luciano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Gabriella Price W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Viola Bedini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Nicole Andrea Molaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Ellie Daniels W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Florentine Dekkers W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Irem Kurt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Warona Mdlulwa W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Nina Andronicou W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martyna Zaremba vs Lavinia Luciano?
Our model gives 77% to Lavinia Luciano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.